GBM
Ghost Base Model
how base odds are derived from a win probability
◐
decimal odds
D =
1
p
p = base win probability
fractional
1 − p
p
: 1
odds against
inverse
p =
1
D
odds → probability
Derive
60%
probability
p =
0.60
decimal
1 /
0.60
=
1.67
fractional
(1 −
0.60
) /
0.60
=
4/6
Derivation table
Win probability
Decimal odds
Fractional