Bill-Benter-style NFL value board · model line vs the market · the XO recommends, the Captain wagers
loading the slate…
Model = recency-weighted team power (last 5 games, regressed) · Market = season baseline (live FanDuel/ESPN lines via CDP are the next tap).
Moneyline shows win% & EV; spread/total show the model line vs market and the point edge.
BACK = model sees value the market doesn’t.