StarDiamond Benter — Edge Board

Bill-Benter-style MLB value board · model line vs the market · the XO recommends, the Captain wagers

How to read it. Model = recency-weighted team form (last ~15 games run differential, regressed toward season baseline); Market = season baseline (live sportsbook lines via CDP are the next tap). MLB is near 50/50, so probabilities are clamped to a realistic band and edges stay small. Moneyline shows win% & EV; runline (−1.5 / +1.5) and total runs show the model number vs market and the edge. BACK = model sees value the market doesn’t · PASS = no edge. Sorted BACK-first by EV/edge.

Matchup	Pick	Model%	Market%	Fair Odds	Edge	EV	Kelly%	Call
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Matchup	Pick	Model Margin	Market Margin	Edge (runs)	Call
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Matchup	Pick	Model Total	Market Total	Edge (runs)	Call
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Ledger

Placed	Market	Pick	Stake	Odds	Status	Payout
no wagers logged — the Captain places, the board tracks

♦️ StarDiamond Benter — Edge Board

Moneyline — value plays

Runline (−1.5 / +1.5)

Total Runs (Over / Under)

Ledger