Bill-Benter-style value board · model probability vs the market line · the XO recommends, the Captain wagers
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How to read it:Model% = each driver’s win probability from recent form (recency-weighted last 4 rounds).
Market% = the line to beat (season-standings implied for now; live FanDuel / bet365 / Pinnacle odds via CDP are the next tap).
Edge = Model − Market; EV = expected return per £1 at the fair price; Kelly% = bankroll fraction.
BACK = model sees more than the market (value); FADE = market overrates; PASS = no edge.